Empirical analysis on effect of collaborative development of new“ five-modernization” on income of rural residents in Anhui province[J]. Guangdong Agricultural Sciences, 2017, 44(4): 166-172. DOI: 10.16768/j.issn.1004-874X.2017.04.025
    Citation: Empirical analysis on effect of collaborative development of new“ five-modernization” on income of rural residents in Anhui province[J]. Guangdong Agricultural Sciences, 2017, 44(4): 166-172. DOI: 10.16768/j.issn.1004-874X.2017.04.025

    Empirical analysis on effect of collaborative development of new“ five-modernization” on income of rural residents in Anhui province

    • Based on the time series data of Anhui province from 1990 to 2015,this paper used vector autoregressive( VAR) to explore the possibibities of promoting the income growth of rural residents in Anhui province,approaching it from five appects: urbanization,industrialization,agricultural modernization, informatization and greenification( hereinafter referred to as“ five-modernization”) . It is concluded that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between collaborative development of the“ five-modernization”and incomes of rural residents,though it is not statistically significant in short-run. Informationization and urbanization bring about 32.7326% and 11.28629% of the contribution rate respectively,which show they both have profound effects on incomes of rural residents,the positive shocks on industrialization and agricultural modernization lead to positive responses of income of rural residents,which are noticeable in step,while a positive shock on greenization causes a statistically significant income fluctuation,which means there is no valid economic benefits. Therefore,it is suggested that we could focus on the green innovation and enjoy the ecological benefits,vigorously promote coordinated development of the“ five-modernization”,and properly utilize information technology to promote industrialization, then to promote agricultural modernization,ultimately to increase noticeable income growth of rural residents,with the combination of town and country.
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