中国与RCEP成员国主要热带农产品贸易竞合关系及优化对策

    Research on the Competitive-Cooperative Relationship and Optimisation of Major Tropical Agricultural Products Trade Between China and RCEP Member Countries

    • 摘要:
      目的 深入探讨热带农产品的竞争与互补关系,为加强中国与RCEP各成员国在热带农业贸易领域的深度合作提供科学依据和策略建议。通过系统分析,揭示各成员国在热带农产品领域的优势与不足,进而促进区域内的资源优化配置和贸易互利共赢。
      方法 基于2014—2023年的15个国家数据,对中国与RCEP其他成员国在主要热带农产品方面的贸易现状进行细致梳理和全面分析。在此基础上,运用显示性比较优势指数(RCA)、贸易结合度指数(TII)和贸易互补性指数(TCI)等分析指标,研究中国与RCEP其他成员国之间的贸易竞争性与互补性。
      结果 近年来中国与RCEP其他成员国在热带农产品贸易方面呈现出明显的逆差扩大趋势,从2014年的86.84亿美元扩大至2023年的152.7亿美元,中国的RCA指数一直在0.1左右,反映出中国热带农产品的国际竞争力相对不足。而且中国与RCEP其他成员国的进出口贸易结合度存在不平衡现象,中国与澳大利亚、泰国、韩国、越南的贸易结合度指数在2014—2023年间一直保持在1.0以上,与文莱、新加坡、马来西亚、印度尼西亚TII指数小于1.0。中国与东盟国家在热带农产品贸易方面表现出较强的互补性,TCI指数均在1.0以上。
      结论 为有效促进中国与RCEP成员国在主要热带农产品贸易方面的竞争与合作关系,建议优化热带农产品品牌建设和出口结构,提升产品附加值和国际市场竞争力;积极调整热带农产品产业和贸易结构,推动产业升级和贸易多元化;推进热带农产品产业链的延伸与完善,提升产业链的整体效能和抗风险能力;加强热带农业技术合作与交流,通过技术引进和创新,提升中国热带农业的整体技术水平。

       

      Abstract:
      Objective To conduct an deep exploration of the competitive and complementary relationships in tropical agricultural products, providing a scientific basis and strategic recommendations for strengthening cooperation between China and RCEP countries in the field of tropical agricultural trade. Through systematic analysis, the study aims to reveal the strengths and weaknesses of member countries in the tropical agricultural sector, thereby promoting optimal resource allocation and mutually beneficial trade within the region.
      Method Based on country-specific data from 15 nations between 2014 and 2023, studying meticulously and examinng comprehensively into trade dynamics of major tropical agricultural products between China and other RCEP member countries. Utilizing analytical indicators such as the revealed comparative advantage index (RCA), trade intensity index (TII), and trade complementarity index (TCI) to investigate into the competitive and complementary trade relationships between China and other RCEP members.
      Result In recent years, China's trade deficit with other RCEP members in tropical agricultural products has shown a significant widening trend, increasing from 8.684 billion in 2014 to 15.27 billion in 2023. China's RCA index has remained around 0.1, reflecting relatively weak international competitiveness in tropical agricultural products. Moreover, there is an imbalance in the trade intensity between China and other RCEP members. The TII index between China and Australia, Thailand, South Korea, and Vietnam consistently remained above 1.0 from 2014 to 2023, meanwhile it was below 1.0 for Brunei, Singapore, Malaysia, and Indonesia. China and ASEAN countries exhibit strong complementarities in tropical agricultural trade, with TCI values all exceeding 1.0.
      Conclusion To effectively enhance competition and cooperation between China and RCEP members on major tropical agriculture product trade, this study proposes on the following recommendations: optimize brand development and export structure for tropical agricultural products to increase added value and international competitiveness; actively adjust the industrial and trade structure of tropical agricultural products to promote industrial upgrading and trade diversification; extend and refine the tropical agricultural product supply chain to improve overall efficiency and risk resilience; and strengthen technical cooperation and exchange in tropical agriculture to elevate China's overall technological capabilities through technology introduction and innovation.

       

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