广东猪肉价格波动关联效应实证研究--基于改进的投入产出价格影响模型分析

    Empirical study on associated mechanismof Guangdong pork price fluctuations--Based on the improved input-output price effects model

    • 摘要: 以广东省135个部门投入产出表数据为基础,通过拆分和合并成包含猪肉等30 个行业的投入产出表,对投入产出价格影响模型进行了改进遥测算发现,在纳入研究的30个行业中,在猪肉上涨50%情况下将主要波及4 个部门,食品是主要被波及的行业,其他食品上涨2.02%,鸡肉和其他畜牧业价格分别上涨1.30%。在猪肉与其他部门分别上涨50%的情况下,蔬菜、猪肉共同波及了12个部门,在30个部门中占40%。这些研究为深入理解消费品之间价格波动的内在机理提供了新的借鉴。

       

      Abstract: The paper has built new input-output table of 30 industries contained pork by splitting and merging input-output table of 135 departments in Guangdong province. We have improved price impact model based on input-output model. The study showed that when pork rose 50%, four departments would be affected in the 30 departments and food department was mainly affected,other food rose 2.02%, chicken and other livestock prices rose 1.30%. In the case of pork and other departments were up 50%, vegetables and pork spread jointly to 12 departments which accounted for 40% in 30 departments. These studies provide a new reference to in-depth understanding of the internal mechanism of price fluctuations in consumer goods.