中美贸易摩擦对广东省输美水产品贸易的影响及对策研究

    Impacts of Sino-U.S. Trade Frictions on Guangdong Province’s Aquatic Product Trade to the United States and the Countermeasures

    • 摘要: 【目的】通过分析中美贸易摩擦对广东省输美水产品贸易的影响,提出相关对策与建议以缓和中美贸易摩擦带来的负面影响,促进广东省水产品企业转型升级。【方法】结合统计数据及半结构式实地调研情况,运用 TC 指数方法,分析广东省输美水产品贸易现状,从宏观到微观深入探讨中美贸易摩擦背景下广东省输美水产品市场所受到的影响,并从企业、行业和政府层面提出对策与建议。【结果】2018 年中美贸易摩擦发生后,广东省水产品出口贸易面临更大的不确定性,宏观上导致水产品竞争力下降,贸易顺差转为逆差,水产品出口美国受阻,内销比例增大,部分出口美国的水产品转向东盟和澳大利亚市场;微观上对水产品上中下游各环节造成负面影响,非美和国内市场有所拓宽,加工量减少,养殖计划不明确。【结论】广东省水产品企业应兼顾国内外市场,激发消费潜力;带领养殖户转变养殖模式,提高抗风险能力;加大科研力度,从根本上提升核心竞争力。行业协会应发挥带头作用,共同防范风险。建议政府出台相关扶持政策,携手企业以更从容的姿态应对中美贸易摩擦。

       

      Abstract: 【Objective】By analyzing the impacts of Sino-U.S. trade frictions on Guangdong Province’s aquatic product trade to the United States, relevant countermeasures and suggestions were put forward to mitigate the negative impacts of Sino-U.S. trade frictions and promote the transformation and upgrading of aquatic product enterprises in Guangdong. 【Method】Combined with the statistical data and semi-structured field survey, this paper used TC index method to analyze the current situation of Guangdong Province’s aquatic product trade to the United States, and discussed the impact on the market of Guangdong Province’s aquatic product to the United States under the background of Sino-U. S. trade frictions from macro to micro, and put forward countermeasures and suggestions from the perspectives of enterprises, industries and governments.【Result】After the Sino-U.S. trade frictions in 2018, export trade of aquatic products of Guangdong Province faced greater uncertainty. From a macro perspective, it led to the decline of competitiveness of aquatic products, the trade surplus turned into trade deficit, the export of aquatic products to the United States was blocked, the proportion of domestic sales increased, and some aquatic products exported to the United States turned to be sold to the ASEAN and Australian markets; from a micro perspective, it had a negative impact on the upstream, midstream and downstream links of aquatic products, for example, the non-US and domestic markets was widened, the processing volume was reduced, and the breeding plan was not clear.【Conclusion】Guangdong aquatic products enterprises should take into account the domestic and foreign markets to stimulate consumption potential, lead the farmers to change the breeding mode to improve their anti risk ability, strengthen scientific research and enhance the core competitiveness fundamentally. Trade associations should play a leading role in jointly preventing risks. It is also suggested that the government should introduce relevant supporting policies and cooperate with enterprises to deal with Sino-U.S. trade frictions in a more leisurely manner.

       

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