陕甘宁春玉米低温冷害动态监测研究

    Dynamic monitoring of spring maize chilling injury in Shaanxi-Gansu-Ningxia Area

    • 摘要: 为提高逐日温度推算精度,采用微波亮温趋势面信息与地理因子相联合的方法,建立多元回归方程,实现了研究区2010 年逐日平均气温的推算。所获逐日平均气温经验证,模拟结果与气象站观测结果均方根误差为1.75℃。微波趋势面信息的加入可使逐日平均气温的推算精度提高0.37℃。通过构建的春玉米动态发育期图,提高了春玉米冷害监测时监测指标和发育期的配合度。所获得陕甘宁春玉米冷害监测结果与2011 年农业气象灾害统计年鉴的报道在时空上相吻合。研究构建的冷害监测方法简单有效,可为陕甘宁春玉米大范围冷害动态监测提供技术支持。

       

      Abstract: In order to improve the estimated accuracy of daily mean temperature,multiple regression equations were constru-cted by coupling microwave brightness temperature and geographical factors,which realized the calculation of daily mean temperature of the study area in 2010. Upon verification of the obtained daily mean temperature,the Root-Mean-Square betw-een the simulated results and the observations from weather station was 1.75℃. The addition of the microwave brightness c-an increase the estimated accuracy of daily mean temperature by 0.37℃. The dynamic graph for spring maize developmental phase constructed in the study improved the compatibility between the monitoring indicators and the developmental phaseat the monitoring time of spring maize for chilling injury. The results obtained from monitoring spring maize for chilling in-jury in Shaanxi-Gansu-Ningxia are and the Yearbook of Meteorological Disasters in China in 2011 are consistent with eachother in time and space.The chilling injury monitoring method constructed in the study is simple and effective,and it can p-rovide technical support for the dynamic monitoring for chilling injury of spring maize on a large scale in Shaanxi-Gansu-Ningxia.

       

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