我国涉农政策对农民收入的影响及区域差异
Impact of agricultural policy on farmers’ income in China and its regional difference
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摘要: 采用综合关联度模型定量评价我国东、中、西部地区涉农政策对农民收入的影响,实证分析结果表明,涉农政策与农民收入的关联度和政策的影响覆盖率共同决定了政策对农民收入的影响程度。政策对农民收入的影响表现出较明显的区域差异,中西部地区农民相对更容易受到政策的影响,宁南山区、陕北地区、河南焦作和浙江绍兴市农民年人均涉农政策收益分别为695.79、1 179.94、432.71、1 317.78 元,分别占农民家庭总收入的11.5%、12.1%、7.3%、7.6%,农民收入水平越高,政策收益在农民总收入中所占的比重越低。低收入农民对政策的影响更为敏感,而当前涉农政策对贫困农户增收作用不明显,主要与政策的覆盖率低有关,未来应通过国家“精准扶贫”战略,提高贫困识别度,使更多农民享受到政策利益。Abstract: This study quantitatively evaluated the influence of agricultural policy on farmers'income in eastern, central and western regions of China by comprehensive correlation model. The empirical analysis showed that the degree of impact’ was determined by the coverage and correlation degree between the policy and the income and there is obvious regional difference. Farmers in central and western regions are relatively more vulnerable to the impact of policies. Peasants' household income received from the agriculture policy in southern Ningxia mountain areas,in northern Shanxi province,in Jiaozuo of Henan province and in Shaoxing of Zhejiang province were 695.79 Yuan, 1 179.94 Yuan,432.71 Yuan and 1 317.78 Yuan per year,which accounted for 11.5%,12.1%,7.3%,7.6% of the peasants' total income . It is the higher level of income,the lower of the proportion. Low-income farmers were more sensitive to the impact of policy. However,because of the low coverage of policy the current agricultural policy was limited helpful to raise the poorest peasants income,It should improve the accuracy of poverty identification by the national strategy of "precise poverty alleviation" and raise the coverage of policy in the poorest farmers group in the future.
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